ABSTRACT
The Idea of splicing LEGO bricks is proposed for describing the structure of a composite viral infection, which makes it possible to explain the possibility of a recurrence of the disease and the pattern of peaks in the spread of the disease. Comparing the RNA sequences/fragments of a virus to LEGO bricks, the number of LEGO bricks an individual acquires can be used to estimate the probability of disease and death for that individual. The aim is to advise and help public health security develop appropriate measures to reduce infection, recurrence and death from disease during a pandemic. The purpose is to provide the basis for recommendations and measures developed for public health safety to reduce disease infection, recurrence and death during a pandemic. © 2022 IEEE.
ABSTRACT
A fundamentally new multiphase compartmental mathematical model for predicting the spread of several waves of coronavirus infection has been developed. Quality indicators in comparison with existing single-phase models are analyzed. The developed model will allow to model several waves of the process of spreading new coronavirus infections, to predict the process of loading the medical system, as well as the needs for staff, equipment and hospital beds during pandemics. © 2022 IEEE.